SNSN schreef op 11 november 2015 15:31:
[...]
You need just to be more attentive and concentrated when reading objective facts:
a) "unusual rising volume" (to 601 contracts) --> it's rising above average, i.e. "systemic info" (not random) with objective content - "number of contracts"
b) it's just a "home task-1": what do you think about the ratio sellers/buyers if prices are rising sharply ? (help: just apply standard "supply/demand" principle)
ja, "home task-2": "put contracts Nov 2015" - when could you expect an impact - soon, or later? (help: take a look at the calendar and charts)
c) "home task-3": if the 'put-price' up 48.2% --> 1) which parties dominate - "sellers" or "buyers" ? (help: take a look at point (a) above); 2) if "put-buyers" dominate (pushing prices up), what is the "spec. bet", or just a hedge - "bullish", or "bearish" (help: read just a book on derivative pricing, hedging strategies)
So, just read points once more, and if difficult, just read them again and again (it helps... sometimes)
PS. As for the point (f) - better read old posts (since last Mar), and take a look at the 1-year daily chart --> you'll see the strategic top-forming (caused by institutionals cashing) started last March, and the mt-downtrend started since May 28 - just under the main r-zone (read old posts for details)
have a nice time with trading, reading, studying..., and home tasks.
PS. Yes, as for the downtrend, it seems even a writer (of abovementioned paper) did saw it .... (read paper, or just a post again)