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KK DD 26-8: Road to Jackson Hole

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  1. [verwijderd] 26 augustus 2011 16:07
    quote:

    KonVicT *G* schreef:

    4 uur zou die toch spreken?? tot hoe laat eigelijk...
    je zou toch denken dat hij weinig meer kan zeggen en dus zo klaar moet zijn.
  2. lege_beurs 26 augustus 2011 16:07
    Bottom line: nothing now, QE3 expected to be delivered Sept. 20

    BERNANKE SAYS FED HAS LIMITED ABILITY TO ENSURE LONG-RUN GROWTH
    BERNANKE DOESN'T SIGNAL NEW STEPS FOR PROMOTING U.S. GROWTH
    BERNANKE SAYS EXTRA DAY TO ALLOW `FULLER DISCUSSION' OF TOOLS
    BERNANKE SAYS FED TO EXTEND SEPT. FOMC MEETING TO TWO DAYS
    BERNANKE SAYS FED HAS `RANGE OF TOOLS' FOR STIMULATING GROWTH
    BERNANKE SAYS `FINANCIAL STRESS' WILL BE A `DRAG' ON RECOVERY
  3. forum rang 10 voda 26 augustus 2011 16:07
    Consumentenvertrouwen VS in augustus lager dan verwacht


    AMSTERDAM (Dow Jones)--Het Amerikaanse consumentenvertrouwen is in augustus lager uitgekomen dan verwacht, maar is uiteindelijk beter dan bij een eerdere raming werd voorzien, blijkt vrijdag uit definitieve cijfers van de Universiteit van Michigan.

    De index voor het vertrouwen bedraagt eind augustus 55,7, tegen 63,7 eind juli. Door Dow Jones geraadpleegde economen verwachtten dat de index zou uitkomen op 56,0. Bij een eerdere raming medio augustus werd nog gerekend op een indexniveau van 54,9.

    De inflatieverwachting voor de komende 12 maanden onder Amerikaanse consumenten bedraagt in augustus 3,5%. Bij een eerdere raming werd nog uitgegaan van 3,4%.

    Over een periode van vijf jaar is de verwachting onder consumenten dat de prijzen met 2,9% zullen stijgen.


    Door Patrick buis, Dow Jones Nieuwsdienst; +31-20-5715200; patrick.buis@dowjones.com
  4. [verwijderd] 26 augustus 2011 16:08
    quote:

    jj77 schreef op 26 augustus 2011 15:46:

    [...]
    setje AX1 p iets na 15.55 exit maar voor 16.00,zou goed moeten werken.
    setje AX1 c ff aanhouden nog...
    dat ging dus niet goed,voorlopig au!
  5. [verwijderd] 26 augustus 2011 16:09
    quote:

    KonVicT *G* schreef op 26 augustus 2011 16:07:

    kan ook betekenen dat de economie er beter voor staat daarom geen QE3
    Jeetje jij bent echt positief :P) Ojaah Finland heeft een onderpand hahah :P en wij niet hahahhahhahahahahaha
  6. forum rang 10 voda 26 augustus 2011 16:10
    Stocks Fall, Treasuries Maintain Losses as Fed Gives No Plan for Stimulus

    Q
    By Nick Baker - Aug 26, 2011 4:02 PM GMT+0200

    Stocks retreated while Treasuries maintained losses after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke announced no new plan to stimulate growth.

    The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped 1.5 percent at 10:01 a.m. in New York. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index lost 2.4 percent as Germany’s DAX Index slid 2.5 percent. The Dollar Index dropped 0.2 percent. The rise in Treasuries drove yields on 10-year notes down six basis points to 2.17 percent.

    Stocks fell as Bernanke withheld the same reassurance he offered at last year’s event in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, when discussion of a plan to stimulate the economy through Treasury purchases ignited an eight-month equity rally. The S&P 500 has dropped more than 15 percent since reaching its 2011 high in April as reports on U.S. employment, housing and manufacturing heightened speculation the biggest economy is poised for a recession.

    Barclays Plc said this month that yields on 10-year Treasuries indicated traders priced in $500 billion to $600 billion of Treasury purchases by the Fed. Citigroup Inc. said current rates can only be justified by more central bank bond buying or assuming the economy will shrink by 2 percent.

    U.S. gross domestic product increased at a 1 percent annual rate in the second quarter, missing the median economist forecast for a 1.1 percent increase, according to a report today.

    To contact the reporter on this story: Nick Baker in New York at nbaker7@bloomberg.net

    To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Baker at nbaker7@bloomberg.net
  7. [verwijderd] 26 augustus 2011 16:12
    Bernanke says Fed will do “all it can” to support fragile recovery, but notes limits of Fed power. Urges Congress to act swiftly (CNN)

    ?? to what? to enable stimulus? gaat effe afvege man, je zet al op -110% BBP broekkkkspoeperchen

  8. forum rang 10 voda 26 augustus 2011 16:12
    Bernanke Says Fed Still Has Stimulus Tools, Doesn’t Signal He’ll Use Them

    By Jeannine Aversa and Scott Lanman - Aug 26, 2011 4:00 PM GMT+0200

    Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the central bank still has tools to stimulate the economy without providing details or signaling when or whether policy makers might deploy them.

    “In addition to refining our forward guidance, the Federal Reserve has a range of tools that could be used to provide additional monetary stimulus,” Bernanke said in a speech today to central bankers and economists gathered at an annual forum in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. He said a second day has been added to the next policy meeting in September to “allow a fuller discussion” of the economy and the Fed’s possible response.

    While Bernanke sought to reassure investors and the public that U.S. growth is safe in the long run and that the Fed still has tools to aid the recovery if needed, he stopped short of indicating that the central bank will move ahead with a third round of government bond-buying.

    “Although important problems certainly exist, the growth fundamentals of the United States do not appear to have been permanently altered by the shocks of the past four years,” Bernanke said in prepared comments at the mountainside symposium hosted by the Kansas City Fed. “It may take some time, but we can reasonably expect to see a return to growth rates and employment levels consistent with those underlying fundamentals.”

    The Federal Open Market Committee after its Aug. 9 meeting pledged for the first time to keep its benchmark interest rate at a record low at least through mid-2013 to energize a recovery that’s “considerably slower” than anticipated. The FOMC said that it was “prepared to employ” additional tools “as appropriate” to aid the economy.

    Last Year

    In today’s speech, Bernanke, 57, repeated that line from the statement without elaborating on the options, in contrast to last year’s talk at the Jackson Hole event, when he discussed several tools, including asset purchases.

    “The Federal Reserve will certainly do all that it can to help restore high rates of growth and employment in a context of price stability,” Bernanke said in the last line of the speech.

    The next FOMC meeting, originally scheduled to begin and end Sept. 20, will now conclude Sept. 21, Bernanke said.

    The former Princeton University economist repeated his call for Congress to adopt a “credible plan for reducing future deficits over the longer term” without harming U.S. growth in the near term.

    He also said that the “extraordinarily high level of long- term unemployment” adds urgency to the need to boost job growth. At the same time, the Fed can’t do it alone: “Most of the economic policies that support robust economic growth in the long run are outside the province of the central bank,” Bernanke said.

    Laying Groundwork

    Last year, the Fed chief used his Jackson Hole speech to lay the groundwork for a second round of bond purchases. The central bank decided in November to buy $600 billion of Treasuries through June 2011.

    Even with joblessness at 9.1 percent, any push to buy more bonds risks a backlash from critics inside the Fed and in Congress who say the Fed’s policies have done little to spur the economy and may fuel inflation.

    “The stage is set for a resurgence of inflation if the Fed is not careful,” Senator Richard Shelby of Alabama, the senior Republican on the Senate Banking Committee, said last month.

    Less than two hours before Bernanke’s speech, the government reported that the economy expanded at a 1 percent annual rate in the second quarter, compared with an initial estimate of 1.3 percent growth. The reduction reflected a smaller increase in inventories and fewer exports.

    Moderate Recovery

    “Although we expect a moderate recovery to continue and indeed to strengthen over time, the Committee has marked down its outlook for the likely pace of growth over coming quarters,” Bernanke said today without specifying the forecast.

    The housing market, which has been a “significant driver” of U.S. post-recession growth rebounds since World War II, is slowing the “natural recovery process” now, Bernanke said.

    Also, “financial stress has been and continues to be a significant drag” on growth, Bernanke said, acknowledging that “bouts of sharp volatility and risk aversion in markets have recently re-emerged in reaction to concerns about both European sovereign debts and developments related to the U.S. fiscal situation.”

    The Fed’s Aug. 9 decision means that in what Fed officials judge to be the “most likely scenarios for resource utilization and inflation in the medium term, the target for the federal funds rate would be held at its current low levels for at least two more years,” Bernanke said today.

    Regional Presidents

    Bernanke pushed through the decision over opposition from three regional Fed presidents who preferred that the Fed stick with its previous commitment to hold rates for an unspecified “extended period.”

    The dissents from the presidents of the Federal Reserve banks of Philadelphia, Dallas and Minneapolis marked the most opposition Bernanke has encountered since he took the Fed’s helm in February 2006.

    The FOMC at its August meeting offered a dimmer view of the economy, noting a “deterioration in overall labor-market conditions in recent months” and that household spending had “flattened out.”

    Hiring has slowed as employers lost confidence in the recovery and governments reduced positions. Average monthly payroll gains dropped to 72,000 in the three months through July, from 215,000 in the prior three months. The jobless rate fell to 9.1 percent in July from 9.2 percent in June as Americans gave up looking for work.

    Bond Purchases

    Besides buying government bonds, the Fed could cut the 0.25 percent interest rate it pays bank on the $1.6 trillion in excess reserves parked at the Fed. It also could replace shorter-term securities with longer maturities, which may help lower interest rates on mortgages and other long-term debt. The Fed also could pledge to keep its balance sheet near a record high of $2.86 trillion for an “extended period” or for a specific time period.

    The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 1.3 percent for the 12 months ending in June. That’s up from a record low increase of 0.9 percent for the 12 months ending in December.

    Bernanke said in June that one difference between this year and last August was that in 2010, “inflation was very low and falling” and deflation was a “nontrivial risk.” The Fed’s asset purchases “have been very successful in eliminating deflation risk,” he said at a press conference.

    To contact the reporter on this story: Jeannine Aversa in Washington at javersa@bloomberg.net; Scott Lanman in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, at slanman@bloomberg.net.

    To contact the editor responsible for this story: Chris Wellisz at cwellisz@bloomberg.net
  9. [verwijderd] 26 augustus 2011 16:14
    quote:

    NewShot schreef op 26 augustus 2011 16:09:

    zo net wat A29 C 280 opgepikt a 0,45

    dood of de gladiolen
    Jij hebt lef.. De beurzen kunnen zich nergens aan optrekken.. Flinke gok dat we in de buurt komen van de 280 maandag. Ik denk eerder aan de 260..
  10. [verwijderd] 26 augustus 2011 16:14
    quote:

    jj77 schreef op 26 augustus 2011 16:08:

    [...]
    dat ging dus niet goed,voorlopig au!
    @Roy,laat maar komen die 280.er wordt ff geen geld gestrooit,tenminste vandaag ff niet.zit nou nog alleen met wat lang spul...pfffff
  11. [verwijderd] 26 augustus 2011 16:15
    Okee vertel! Wie is begonnen met het mandjes gooien?

    Aaaaahhhhhh..... dit gaat de kelder in....

    Bernanke laat het aan de politici oftewel...... Ikke voorlopig niet long
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